Research projects

Project CEMAPRE internal

TitleRuin, cyber risk, pricing, pension and other problems in risk modelling, for application in insurance, pensions and finance. Continuation.
ParticipantsRenata G Alcoforado, Alana Azevedo, Agnieszka Bergel, Alfredo Egídio dos Reis (Principal Investigator), Abraham Hernández-Pacheco, Alexandra Moura, Eugenio V Rodriguez-Martinez
SummaryThis is a continuation of our 2025 project, for application in insurance, pensions and finance. We
keep some of the open problems.

We consider the Carmér-Lundberg risk model for insurance application. We consider continuing the
model with dependence, claim size and count dependence. Work the copula modelling between a discrete
and a continuous distribution.

We will be still working on a solution for a defective renewal equation for the survival
probability
worked by Bergel (2013, Section 5.4.4) in for the renewal Phase-type(n) primal risk model.

We will keep working the problem of calculating ruin probabilities in the context of the Winner's
Curse

We keep on the topic on cyber risk pricing.

Ruin probability approach for optimisation of pension fund investments as well as claim dependence
will be under our study, as well as strategic asset allocation in ALM (Asset and Liability
Management ) application to the insurance and pension sector.

We continue the Project Application, we will re-apply to the Call: HORIZON-MSCA-SE-2025, “ARLES,
Aging Risks and their
Long-term impact on the Economy and Society: Chronological versus Biological Age“. The project
was
approved with evaluation of 87.2%, put in the reserve list. We re-submit.