Research projects

Project CEMAPRE internal

TitleEstimating the effects of technology advancement on pricing automobile insurance
ParticipantsRenata Alcoforado, Agnieszka Bergel, Corina Constantinescu, Alfredo Egídio dos Reis (Principal Investigator), Véronique Maume-Deschamps, Weihong Ni, Eugenio Rodriguez Martinez
SummaryWith a focus in the context of automobile insurance, this project would like to look at the current
status of insurance industry in terms of uncertainties and identified issues brought by recent
development of technologies. On the one hand, we try to start from a relatively neutral perspective
against the uncertainties embedded with unfamiliar/innovative policies. By making dynamic adjustment
of premiums based upon claim records stemming from these policies thanks to the features in a
Bonus-Malus System (BMS), we believe the model not only promotes an initial competitive market
position for an insurer but also ensures the control of the risks. On the other hand, there are
several identified issues related to recent technology advancement that have affected people's
driving behaviours, e.g. the use of mobile phones according to the U.S. Department of
Transportation. To quantitatively evaluate risks associated with a certain human habit is believed
to facilitate an insurer's risk management strategies as well as pricing an insurance product and
that will be the second concentration in this proposed project.